Insights / us
CTVA
Corteva, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.56%
P05–P95 span
14.82%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-3.69%
Outer 90%
3/7(43%)
Middle 50%
1/7(14%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.94%P25: -0.57%P50: 2.56%P75: 6.93%P95: 10.88%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 8.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.