Insights / us
CTVA
Corteva, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.28%
P05–P95 span
9.85%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-6.65%
Outer 90%
2/9(22%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.27%P25: -1.02%P50: 1.28%P75: 3.13%P95: 5.57%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.