Insights / us
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc.US04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.75%
P05–P95 span
8.26%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-2.40%
Outer 90%
2/8(25%)
Middle 50%
0/8(0%)
Above median
7/8(88%)
Below median
1/8(13%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.80%P25: -0.47%P50: 0.75%P75: 2.53%P95: 5.47%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 37.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.