Insights / us
CSX
CSX CorporationUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.71%
P05–P95 span
23.15%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.61%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.70%P25: -1.69%P50: 0.71%P75: 2.68%P95: 17.44%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 30.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.