CSGP

CoStar Group, Inc.US04/13/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.33%
P05–P95 span
7.58%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.85
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.31%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.40%P25: -1.47%P50: -0.33%P75: 1.27%P95: 3.18%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 25.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.