CPT

Camden Property TrustUS04/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.32%
P05–P95 span
10.79%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.97%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.99%P25: -2.00%P50: -0.32%P75: 1.29%P95: 4.80%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 23.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.