Insights / us
CPRT
Copart, Inc.US05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.42%
P05–P95 span
15.36%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.56%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.89%P25: -0.38%P50: 1.42%P75: 3.59%P95: 7.46%
Computed at: 05/19/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.