Insights / us
CPRT
Copart, Inc.US04/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.02%
P05–P95 span
11.80%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.45%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.49%P25: -3.06%P50: -1.02%P75: 0.57%P95: 4.31%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 34.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.