Insights / us
CPB
The Campbell's CompanyUS04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.20%
P05–P95 span
15.52%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.56%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.10%P25: -3.14%P50: -0.20%P75: 1.34%P95: 4.42%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 33.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.