Insights / us
CNC
Centene CorporationUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.18%
P05–P95 span
16.48%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+6.08%
Outer 90%
5/8(63%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
7/8(88%)
Below median
1/8(13%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.65%P25: -3.04%P50: -1.18%P75: 0.27%P95: 5.83%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.