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CMS
CMS Energy CorporationUS06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.93%
P05–P95 span
20.60%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+2.30%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.42%P25: -1.44%P50: 1.93%P75: 5.44%P95: 15.19%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.