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CMS
CMS Energy CorporationUS06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.74%
P05–P95 span
14.00%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+1.19%
Outer 90%
5/6(83%)
Middle 50%
4/6(67%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.52%P25: -1.04%P50: 0.74%P75: 2.50%P95: 7.48%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.