Insights / us
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.US06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.91%
P05–P95 span
12.40%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+11.14%
Outer 90%
0/4(0%)
Middle 50%
0/4(0%)
Above median
4/4(100%)
Below median
0/4(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.90%P25: -1.26%P50: 0.91%P75: 2.62%P95: 7.50%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.