Insights / us
CL
Colgate-Palmolive CompanyUS06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.36%
P05–P95 span
12.57%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+3.98%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
1/4(25%)
Above median
4/4(100%)
Below median
0/4(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.11%P25: -1.47%P50: 0.36%P75: 2.67%P95: 7.46%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.