CL

Colgate-Palmolive CompanyUS05/14/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.12%

P05–P95 span

11.36%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.77

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-1.44%

Outer 90%

10/10(100%)

Middle 50%

9/10(90%)

Above median

3/10(30%)

Below median

7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.90%P25: -0.72%P50: 1.12%P75: 3.49%P95: 8.46%

Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.1 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.