Insights / us
CL
Colgate-Palmolive CompanyUS04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.01%
P05–P95 span
7.46%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.85
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.89%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.49%P25: -1.29%P50: -0.01%P75: 1.38%P95: 3.98%
Computed at: 04/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.