Insights / us
CI
The Cigna GroupUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.71%
P05–P95 span
21.00%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+6.44%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
2/5(40%)
Above median
5/5(100%)
Below median
0/5(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.07%P25: -0.58%P50: 2.71%P75: 6.16%P95: 13.93%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 12.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.