Insights / us
CI
The Cigna GroupUS05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.13%
P05–P95 span
11.27%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.74%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.11%P25: -1.52%P50: -0.13%P75: 1.49%P95: 4.17%
Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.