Insights / us
CI
The Cigna GroupUS04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.01%
P05–P95 span
8.95%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.80%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.73%P25: -4.00%P50: -2.01%P75: -0.31%P95: 1.22%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 39.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.