Insights / us
CHRW
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.US05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.32%
P05–P95 span
11.24%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.00%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.03%P25: -1.99%P50: -0.32%P75: 1.63%P95: 6.20%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.