Insights / us
CHD
Church & Dwight Co., Inc.US06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.56%
P05–P95 span
12.46%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+0.91%
Outer 90%
5/6(83%)
Middle 50%
4/6(67%)
Above median
1/6(17%)
Below median
5/6(83%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.93%P25: -0.10%P50: 1.56%P75: 3.41%P95: 6.54%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.