CFG

Citizens Financial Group, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.94%
P05–P95 span
13.06%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+8.59%
Outer 90%
3/8(38%)
Middle 50%
1/8(13%)
Above median
8/8(100%)
Below median
0/8(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.24%P25: -3.78%P50: -0.94%P75: 1.37%P95: 4.82%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.