Insights / us
CEG
Constellation Energy CorporationUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.55%
P05–P95 span
13.98%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.09%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.11%P25: -4.25%P50: -1.55%P75: 0.21%P95: 4.87%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 39.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.