Insights / us
CBRE
CBRE Group, Inc.US05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.49%
P05–P95 span
9.62%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.59%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.10%P25: -1.24%P50: 0.49%P75: 2.21%P95: 5.52%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.