Insights / us
CBRE
CBRE Group, Inc.US05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.25%
P05–P95 span
14.60%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.67%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.63%P25: -2.05%P50: -0.25%P75: 1.79%P95: 8.96%
Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.