Insights / us
CBRE
CBRE Group, Inc.US04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.38%
P05–P95 span
9.05%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.90%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.52%P25: -0.86%P50: 0.38%P75: 2.17%P95: 5.53%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.