Insights / us
CARR
Carrier Global CorporationUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.94%
P05–P95 span
17.16%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+4.29%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.84%P25: -2.98%P50: -0.94%P75: 2.14%P95: 7.32%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.