Insights / us
CARR
Carrier Global CorporationUS04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.03%
P05–P95 span
19.14%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.40%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.68%P25: -5.10%P50: -1.03%P75: 1.13%P95: 7.46%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 29.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.