Insights / us
CAG
Conagra Brands, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.19%
P05–P95 span
14.29%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+2.36%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
3/8(38%)
Above median
5/8(63%)
Below median
3/8(38%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.33%P25: -3.22%P50: -1.19%P75: 1.03%P95: 3.96%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.