Insights / us
C
Citigroup Inc.US06/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.62%
P05–P95 span
12.85%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
4 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+4
+1.96%
Outer 90%
4/4(100%)
Middle 50%
2/4(50%)
Above median
1/4(25%)
Below median
3/4(75%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.28%P25: -3.97%P50: -1.62%P75: 0.31%P95: 3.56%
Computed at: 06/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 38.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.