Insights / us
C
Citigroup Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.42%
P05–P95 span
19.24%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+7.29%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
3/7(43%)
Above median
7/7(100%)
Below median
0/7(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.41%P25: -0.76%P50: 1.42%P75: 4.91%P95: 9.83%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 38.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.