BLK

BlackRock, Inc.US06/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.53%
P05–P95 span
12.57%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
+2.12%
Outer 90%
6/6(100%)
Middle 50%
5/6(83%)
Above median
4/6(67%)
Below median
2/6(33%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.28%P25: -1.13%P50: 0.53%P75: 3.03%P95: 8.30%

Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.