Insights / us
BLK
BlackRock, Inc.US04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.14%
P05–P95 span
20.31%
Neighbors
39
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.37%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -16.25%P25: -6.64%P50: -1.14%P75: 1.07%P95: 4.06%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 38.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.