Insights / us
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.US05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.09%
P05–P95 span
17.87%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.06%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.03%P25: -2.61%P50: 0.09%P75: 2.54%P95: 7.84%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.