Insights / us
BLDR
Builders FirstSource, Inc.US05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.01%
P05–P95 span
10.82%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.50%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.38%P25: -4.85%P50: -2.01%P75: 0.04%P95: 2.44%
Computed at: 05/11/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 15.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.