BLDR

Builders FirstSource, Inc.US05/03/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+0.39%

P05–P95 span

12.03%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.76

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

-6.43%

Outer 90%

6/10(60%)

Middle 50%

2/10(20%)

Above median

3/10(30%)

Below median

7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.22%P25: -1.05%P50: 0.39%P75: 2.97%P95: 8.81%

Computed at: 05/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.