Insights / us
BIIB
Biogen Inc.US04/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.52%
P05–P95 span
24.30%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.51
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.27%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.98%P25: -4.52%P50: -1.52%P75: 0.99%P95: 10.32%
Computed at: 04/28/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 29.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.