Insights / us
BG
Bunge Global SAUS06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.85%
P05–P95 span
14.88%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
-2.09%
Outer 90%
3/3(100%)
Middle 50%
2/3(67%)
Above median
0/3(0%)
Below median
3/3(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.02%P25: -0.73%P50: 1.85%P75: 4.79%P95: 10.86%
Computed at: 06/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.