Insights / us
BG
Bunge Global SAUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.54%
P05–P95 span
13.36%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-3.18%
Outer 90%
6/7(86%)
Middle 50%
4/7(57%)
Above median
3/7(43%)
Below median
4/7(57%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.44%P25: -3.92%P50: -1.54%P75: 0.72%P95: 4.92%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.