Insights / us
BG
Bunge Global SAUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.04%
P05–P95 span
8.01%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.84
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+1.47%
Outer 90%
5/9(56%)
Middle 50%
3/9(33%)
Above median
9/9(100%)
Below median
0/9(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.75%P25: -1.34%P50: -0.04%P75: 1.45%P95: 4.26%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 37.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.