Insights / us
BG
Bunge Global SAUS04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.48%
P05–P95 span
12.31%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.22%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.68%P25: -1.71%P50: 0.48%P75: 2.16%P95: 6.63%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 22.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.