Insights / us
BF-B
Brown-Forman CorporationUS05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.27%
P05–P95 span
14.87%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.49%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.51%P25: -2.18%P50: -0.27%P75: 2.24%P95: 6.36%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.