Insights / us
BDX
Becton, Dickinson and CompanyUS04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.03%
P05–P95 span
17.25%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.10%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.70%P25: -5.86%P50: -3.03%P75: -0.61%P95: 8.55%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 39.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.