BBY

Best Buy Co., Inc.US04/06/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.71%
P05–P95 span
10.35%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.55%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.15%P25: -4.23%P50: -1.71%P75: -0.09%P95: 3.20%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 35.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.