Insights / us
BALL
Ball CorporationUS05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.59%
P05–P95 span
17.48%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+4.62%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
4/8(50%)
Above median
2/8(25%)
Below median
6/8(75%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.94%P25: -0.45%P50: 1.59%P75: 3.64%P95: 9.54%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 23.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.