Insights / us
BALL
Ball CorporationUS05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.20%
P05–P95 span
11.95%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.56%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.45%P25: -1.34%P50: -0.20%P75: 1.89%P95: 7.49%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 8.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.