Insights / us
BALL
Ball CorporationUS05/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.15%
P05–P95 span
12.54%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.94%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.33%P25: -2.11%P50: -0.15%P75: 2.35%P95: 7.21%
Computed at: 05/06/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.