Insights / us
BALL
Ball CorporationUS04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.16%
P05–P95 span
7.05%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.86
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.72%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -2.29%P25: -0.04%P50: 1.16%P75: 2.65%P95: 4.76%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.