Insights / us
BAC
Bank of America CorporationUS05/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.59%
P05–P95 span
11.12%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.85%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.47%P25: -0.55%P50: 1.59%P75: 4.55%P95: 7.65%
Computed at: 05/07/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.