Insights / us
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.US05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.23%
P05–P95 span
9.95%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.27%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.19%P25: -2.92%P50: -1.23%P75: 0.03%P95: 2.76%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.